The Impact of Tommy John Surgery on Free Agent Pitcher Contracts in Major League Baseball
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University Honors College Middle Tennessee State University
Abstract
This research examines whether Tommy John surgery has an effect on the Major
League Baseball’s starting pitchers’ free agent contracts. I have used historical data on
player performance and salary to see if there are differences in pay levels and the
efficiency of the contract between pitchers who have had Tommy John surgery and those
who have not. I have found that Tommy John surgery does not have a significant impact
determining their contract, but prior performance is the main determination factor for
their contracts. Furthermore, I found that salary efficiency depends on the players’ prior
performances and not Tommy John surgery.